Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2026 1.30pm
Asito Stadion

Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.45pm
Feyenoord 0 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 1.30pm
Groningen 0 - 0 Sittard
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heracles win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 32.16% and a draw has a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).

Result

Heracles 44.26% (-0.03)
Draw 23.58% (+0.01)
Fortuna Sittard 32.16% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.82%
Under 2.5 41.18%
Over 3.5 36.59%
Under 3.5 63.41%
Over 4.5 21.79% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 78.21% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Heracles 35.56% (+0.04)
Draw 39.88% (-0.05)
Fortuna Sittard 24.56% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Heracles 54.36%
No Goal 4.66% (+0.03)
Fortuna Sittard 40.98% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 68.94% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.22%
Under 8 20.84% (-0.04)
Over 9 57.48% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.01)
Under 9 31.06% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 45.8% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 54.2% (-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 47.17%
Under 1.5 52.83%
Over 2.5 22.59% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.48% (-0.01)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 68.62% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.38% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.28% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.72% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.12% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Heracles 44.25%
Draw 23.57%
Fortuna Sittard 32.16%
Heracles
2-1 @ 8.77%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.42% (+0.01)
Total : 44.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.57%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.1% (-0.02)
Total : 32.16%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shawn Adewoye 20' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Peterson 25' goal
  • 44' yellowcard
  • Edouard Michut 57' yellowcard
  • Edouard Michut 58' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Ihattaren 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mike te Wierik 44'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jan Zamburek 51'
  • yellowcard Mimeirhel Benita 55'
  • goal Jizz Hornkamp 58'
  • yellowcard Tristan van Gilst 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Kristoffer Peterson 66' goal
  • yellowcard Sem Scheperman 65'
  • yellowcard Jan Zamburek 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jan Zamburek 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Erve Asito
  • Luka Kulenovic 15' goal
  • Ruben Roosken 59' goal
  • Sem Scheperman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Milani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alessio Da Cruz 21'
  • goal Kristoffer Peterson 30'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 37'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Polman Stadion
  • Sem Scheperman 71' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Rodrigo Guth 6' goal
  • Milan Robberechts 25' goal
  • Alen Halilovic 32' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 40' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 27'
  • yellowcard Sem Scheperman 43'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 53'
  • yellowcard Jannes Wieckhoff 75'
  • goal Mario Engels 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Apr 3, 2022 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Cox 18' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Quagliata 58'
  • goal Sinan Bakis 66'