Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 26.69% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).