Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Excelsior
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Irakli Yegoian

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 1.30pm
AZ 0 - 0 Ajax
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 26.69% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 26.69% (+0.04)
Draw 23.78% (+0.32)
AZ Alkmaar 49.52% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.24% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 21.19% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 55.81% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 44.19% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 33.75% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 66.21% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 19.5% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 80.5% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 23.33%
Draw 37.95% (+0.38)
AZ Alkmaar 38.72% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 35.91% (-0.73)
No Goal 5.54% (+0.13)
AZ Alkmaar 58.55% (+0.59)

Corners

Over 8 54.28% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.09% (+0.03)
Under 8 33.63% (+0.06)
Over 9 42.3% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 9 45.72% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 31.43% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 68.57% (+0.11)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 31.17% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.83% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.02% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.98% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.82% (-0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 79.45% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 20.55% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 49.83% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 50.17% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 24.06% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 75.94% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 9.2% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 90.8% (+0.21)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 26.69%
Draw 23.79%
AZ Alkmaar 49.53%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.54% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.96% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Total : 26.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.02)
Total : 23.79%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.12% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.05% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.08)
Other @ 9.08% (-0.24)
Total : 49.53%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 46' yellowcard
  • Ro-Zangelo Daal 63' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 65' goal
  • Mateo Chavez 76' yellowcard
  • Jizz Hornkamp 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Seiya Maikuma 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gyan de Regt 64'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 78'
  • yellowcard Nolan Martens 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 78'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 78'
  • goal Miliano Jonathans 81'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlen 84'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2024 1.00pm
8
0
HT : 4 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 2' goal
  • Myron van Brederode 7' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 27' goal
  • Ernest Poku 38' goal
  • Ernest Poku 56' goal
  • Lequincio Zeefuik 67' goal
  • Lequincio Zeefuik 81' goal
  • Riechedly Bazoer 85' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 11.15am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 13' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 15' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 25' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 72' goal
  • yellowcard Siem de Moes 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Lazaros Lamprou 7' yellowcard
  • Julian Baas 71' yellowcard
  • Cisse Sandra 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 25'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 68'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 72'
  • yellowcard David Moller Wolfe 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2023 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Sven Mijnans 20' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 27' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 30' goal
  • Jens Odgaard 35' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 38' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Siebe Horemans 6' goal
  • Marouan Azarkan 31' goal
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 48'