Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 29.46% and a draw has a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.58%).