Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.18% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 0-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%) , while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.