Eredivisie
PSV
Feb 21, 2026 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Ivan Perišić 45' goal
  • Armando Obispo 46' yellowcard
  • Myron Boadu 48' goal
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 75' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 75' yellowcard
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 86' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 87' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lasse Nordås 21'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 63'
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 63'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 64'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 70'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 71'
  • yellowcard Vasilios Zagaritis 86'

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
Volendam 2 - 1 PSV
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.30pm
Heerenveen 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.25% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%) , while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 67.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 17.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Heerenveen 15.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 12.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 71.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 28.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 52.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 47.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 38.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 61.8% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 53.99%
Draw 29.59%
Heerenveen 16.42%

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 68.31% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Heerenveen 28.93%

Corners

Over 8 69.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.67%
Under 8 20.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 58.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 30.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 47.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 52.5% ▲ (+0.01)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 70.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 50.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 49.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 8.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 91.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 67.51%
Draw 17.26%
Heerenveen 15.23%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 26.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 67.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 17.26%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
PSV
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 23' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 24' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 32' goal
  • Ryan Flamingo 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 54' goal
  • Ivan Perišić 54' goal
  • Paul Wanner 57' goal
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 62' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 62' yellowcard
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 63' yellowcard
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 68' yellowcard
  • Kiliann Sildillia 74' yellowcard
  • Myron Boadu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 36'
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 37'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 63'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Soyset Hopland 75'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Allan Courtens Mabeneyshi 75'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 75'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 75'
  • goal Luca Oyen 77'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Dec 6, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
PSV
  • Luuk Brouwers 35' yellowcard
  • goal Joey Veerman 22'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 27'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PSV
Mar 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Ismael Saibari 40' goal
  • Richard Ledezma 54' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 57' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Levi Smans 72'
  • yellowcard Alireza Jahanbakhsh 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
Dec 14, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • Ion Nicolaescu 73' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Heerenveen
Apr 25, 2024 5.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • goal Guus Til 7'
  • goal Malik Tillman 9'
  • goal Malik Tillman 11'
  • goal Guus Til 30'
  • goal Joey Veerman 44'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 52'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 71'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
PSV
Dec 7, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Guus Til 33' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 42' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 78' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 90'

Form Data

Volendam 2 - 1 PSV
Groningen 1 - 2 PSV
PSV 4 - 1 Heerenveen
PSV 3 - 0 Feyenoord
PSV 1 - 2 Bayern
PSV 2 - 2 NAC Breda
Heerenveen 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 3 Heerenveen
FC Twente 5 - 0 Heerenveen
PSV 4 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Utrecht
Heerenveen 0 - 2 Groningen