Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.73%).