Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.