Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Noah had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%) , while for a FC Noah win it was 0-1 (5.6%).