Conference League
Feb 26, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ro-Zangelo Daal 5' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 39' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 54' goal
  • Kasper Boogaard 69' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 69' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 70' yellowcard
  • Mees de Wit 80' yellowcard
  • Isak Jensen 83' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 83' yellowcard
  • Isak Jensen 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Aiás 57'
  • yellowcard Matheus Aiás 58'
  • yellowcard Imran Oulad Omar 58'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 63'
  • yellowcard Gor Manvelyan 80'
  • yellowcard Eric Boakye 80'

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
Noah 1 - 0 AZ

FC Noah

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
Noah 1 - 0 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Noah had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%) , while for a FC Noah win it was 0-1 (5.6%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 55.73%
Draw 23%
FC Noah 21.26% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.65% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.35% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.23% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.77% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 32.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.37% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.91% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.09% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 39.6%
Draw 38.1%
FC Noah 22.3%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 56.18%
No Goal 7.16% (-0.01)
FC Noah 36.66% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.4%
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 32.26%
Over 9 44.98%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 43.6%
Over 10.5 34.39%
Under 10.5 65.61%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 51.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 27.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.94%
Under 3.5 88.06%

FC Noah Goals

Over 0.5 54% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 46% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 24.72% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 75.28% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.37% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.14%
Under 3.5 96.86%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 55.74%
Draw 23.01%
FC Noah 21.27%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.63% (+0.02)
Total : 55.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.31% (-0.02)
Total : 23.01%
FC Noah
0-1 @ 5.6%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Total : 21.27%

Head to Head

Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 53' goal
  • Matheus Aiás 57' yellowcard
  • Eric Boakye 57' yellowcard
  • Marin Jakolis 72' yellowcard
  • Imran Oulad Omar 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathanaël Saintini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 56'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 56'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sadiq 77'