Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
Mika

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Noah

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for FC Noah has a probability of 30.93% and a draw has a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest FC Noah win is 2-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).

Result

FC Noah 30.93% (+1.97)
Draw 23.09% (+0.11)
AZ Alkmaar 45.94% (-2.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.08% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.68% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.81% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 39.19% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 38.63% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 61.37% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 24.4% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.6% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

FC Noah 30.7% (+7.70)
Draw 41.75% (-1.43)
AZ Alkmaar 27.55% (-6.27)

Team To Score First

FC Noah 46.2% (+8.47)
No Goal 4.86% (-0.06)
AZ Alkmaar 48.94% (-8.41)

Corners

Over 8 46.12% (+2.22)
Equal 8 12.01% (+0.37)
Under 8 41.87% (-2.60)
Over 9 34.97% (+1.72)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.50)
Under 9 53.88% (-2.22)
Over 10.5 25.44% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 74.56% (-1.18)

FC Noah Goals

Over 1.5 35.98% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 64.02% (-1.44)
Over 2.5 15.48% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 84.52% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 5.68% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 94.32% (-0.45)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 77.51% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 22.49% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 49.49% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 50.51% (+1.66)
Over 2.5 25.07% (-1.11)
Under 2.5 74.93% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 11.33% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 88.67% (+0.40)

Score analysis

FC Noah 30.94%
Draw 23.09%
AZ Alkmaar 45.95%
FC Noah
2-1 @ 7.26% (+0.32)
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 3.97% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.1% (+0.35)
Other @ 5.36% (+0.45)
Total : 30.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.09%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.36)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.28)
Other @ 11.01% (-0.40)
Total : 45.95%