Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 53' goal
  • Matheus Aiás 57' yellowcard
  • Eric Boakye 57' yellowcard
  • Marin Jakolis 72' yellowcard
  • Imran Oulad Omar 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathanaël Saintini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 56'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 56'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sadiq 77'

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Noah

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for FC Noah had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Noah win was 2-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

FC Noah 31.13% (+0.08)
Draw 23.47% (-0.04)
AZ Alkmaar 45.4% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.62% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 19.38% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.08% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.92% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 37.17% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 62.83% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 22.82% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.18% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

FC Noah 30.72%
Draw 41.79%
AZ Alkmaar 27.49%

Team To Score First

FC Noah 46.24% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.27% (-0.04)
AZ Alkmaar 48.49% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 47.28%
Equal 8 12.13%
Under 8 40.59% (+0.02)
Over 9 35.92%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 52.72%
Over 10.5 26.13%
Under 10.5 73.87%

FC Noah Goals

Over 1.5 35.61% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.39% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.26% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 84.74% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.54% (-0.03)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.01% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.15%
Under 1.5 51.85%
Over 2.5 23.67%
Under 2.5 76.33%
Over 3.5 10.11%
Under 3.5 89.89%

Score analysis

FC Noah 31.13%
Draw 23.46%
AZ Alkmaar 45.4%
FC Noah
2-1 @ 7.16% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.05)
Total : 31.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.33% (-0.02)
Total : 23.46%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.78% (+0.01)
Total : 45.4%