Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Feb 22, 2026 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Elijah Dijkstra 33' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 46' yellowcard
  • Kees Smit 46' yellowcard
  • Sven Mijnans 60' yellowcard
  • Sven Mijnans 65' goal
  • Mees de Wit 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Kees Smit 83' goal
  • Troy Parrott 90' goal
  • yellowcard A. Roaldsøy 70'
  • yellowcard Casper Terho 70'
  • yellowcard Casper Terho 71'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 78'
  • yellowcard Milan Zonneveld 78'
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 79'
  • yellowcard Milan Zonneveld 79'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • goal Milan Zonneveld 87'

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm
Excelsior 1 - 2 AZ
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.00pm
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 51.23%
Draw 23.19% (+0.02)
Sparta Rotterdam 25.58% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.73% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.48% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 18.52% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 59.87% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 40.13% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 37.79% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 62.21% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 22.89% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 77.11% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 40.12%
Draw 37.4%
Sparta Rotterdam 22.48%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 55.81% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.46% (-0.03)
Sparta Rotterdam 39.73% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.63% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.17% (+0.06)
Under 8 22.21% (-0.11)
Over 9 56.41%
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.07)
Under 9 32.37% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 45.07% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 54.93% (+0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 53.35% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 46.65% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 27% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 73% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 11.16% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 88.84% (+0.22)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 36.16% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 32.06% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 67.94% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.1% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.9% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 3.73% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.27% (+0.07)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 51.22%
Draw 23.19%
Sparta Rotterdam 25.58%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.61% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
Other @ 10.97% (-0.20)
Total : 51.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 23.19%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.44% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.54% (-0.05)
Total : 25.58%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 2, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2025 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mike Eerdhuijzen 17'
  • yellowcard Marvin Young 54'
  • goal Shunsuke Mito 72'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 88'
  • yellowcard Camiel Neghli 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Camiel Neghli 90'+1'
  • goal Arno Verschueren 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Tobias Lauritsen 16' goal
  • Said Bakari 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mike Eerdhuijzen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pelle Clement 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Peer Koopmeiners 9'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 47'
  • yellowcard Dave Kwakman 59'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 73'
  • yellowcard Ernest Poku 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Arno Verschueren 74' goal
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 25'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 38'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 18' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 19' goal
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 38'
  • yellowcard Said Bakari 43'
  • yellowcard Djevencio van der Kust 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 45'+1'