Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.