Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.45pm
Heracles 1 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.45pm
Utrecht 2 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw has a probability of 20.68% and a win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.93%) , while for a AZ Alkmaar win it is 1-2 (4.96%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 58.81%
Draw 20.68%
AZ Alkmaar 20.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.09%
Under 1.5 15.91%
Over 2.5 64.66%
Under 2.5 35.34%
Over 3.5 44.2%
Under 3.5 55.8%
Over 4.5 29.01%
Under 4.5 70.99%

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 43.53%
Draw 34.96%
AZ Alkmaar 21.52%

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 61.62%
No Goal 3.72%
AZ Alkmaar 34.66%

Corners

Over 8 62.48%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 26.35%
Over 9 50.66%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 37.52%
Over 10.5 39.21%
Under 10.5 60.79%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 61.46%
Under 1.5 38.54%
Over 2.5 35.68%
Under 2.5 64.32%
Over 3.5 17.09%
Under 3.5 82.91%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 58.29%
Under 0.5 41.71%
Over 1.5 28.66%
Under 1.5 71.34%
Over 2.5 10.86%
Under 2.5 89.14%
Over 3.5 3.57%
Under 3.5 96.43%

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 58.82%
Draw 20.67%
AZ Alkmaar 20.51%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 16.73%
Total : 58.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.67%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-1 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 3.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 68' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 85' goal
  • yellowcard David Moller Wolfe 27'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 41'
  • goal Mexx Meerdink 74'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 76'
  • yellowcard 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • David Moller Wolfe 10' redcard
  • Denso Kasius 90' goal
  • goal Luuk de Jong 15'
  • goal Noa Lang 22'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Johan Bakayoko 9' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 23' goal
  • Jordan Teze 25' yellowcard
  • Olivier Boscagli 45' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 53' goal
  • Joey Veerman 80' goal
  • Jesper Uneken 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 13'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 58'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 77' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 9'
  • goal Ismael Saibari 11'
  • goal Sergino Dest 16'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 57'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jesper Karlsson 84' goal
  • goal Xavi Simons 65'
  • goal Xavi Simons 90'+8'