KNVB Beker
Mar 4, 2026 7.00pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Telstar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw has a probability of 19.34% and a win for Telstar has a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Telstar win it is 0-1 (4.38%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 63.68% (+5.19)
Draw 19.34% (-1.49)
Telstar 16.99% (-3.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.72% (-1.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.3% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 17.7% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 61.35% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 38.65% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 40.14% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 59.85% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 26.46% (+0.98)
Under 4.5 73.54% (-0.97)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 46.67% (+3.60)
Draw 35.34% (-1.67)
Telstar 17.99% (-1.93)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 63.26% (+3.76)
No Goal 3.94% (-0.14)
Telstar 32.8% (-3.64)

Corners

Over 8 63.73% (-1.82)
Equal 8 10.4% (+0.25)
Under 8 25.87% (+1.56)
Over 9 52.63% (-1.92)
Equal 9 11.1% (+0.12)
Under 9 36.27% (+1.82)
Over 10.5 41.73% (-1.89)
Under 10.5 58.27% (+1.89)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 62.22% (+3.47)
Under 1.5 37.78% (-3.47)
Over 2.5 36.02% (+3.00)
Under 2.5 63.98% (-3.00)
Over 3.5 17.41% (+2.41)
Under 3.5 82.59% (-2.41)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5 53.48% (-4.73)
Under 0.5 46.52% (+4.73)
Over 1.5 22.86% (-4.25)
Under 1.5 77.14% (+4.25)
Over 2.5 7.11% (-2.45)
Under 2.5 92.89% (+2.44)
Over 3.5 2.12% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 97.88% (+0.86)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 63.68%
Draw 19.36%
Telstar 16.99%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.41% (+0.44)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+1.14)
3-1 @ 6.97% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 6.49% (+0.67)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.09)
Other @ 17.4% (+2.61)
Total : 63.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.41)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.41)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.33)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.20)
Total : 19.36%
Telstar
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.51)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.95)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.36)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.11% (-0.67)
Total : 16.99%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Jan 25, 2026 11.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BUKO Stadion
  • Dylan Mertens 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Lechkar 65' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Hamdaoui 76' yellowcard
  • Kay Tejan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 46'
  • yellowcard Isak Jensen 46'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 58'
  • goal Isak Jensen 78'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 81'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT