Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.56% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%) , while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.