Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Sparta Prague has a probability of 26.14% and a draw has a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win is 1-2 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 50.85% (+3.68)
Draw 22.94% (-0.64)
Sparta Prague 26.14% (-3.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 20.71% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 56.81% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 43.19% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 34.76% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 65.24% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 21.07% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 78.93% (-0.74)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 36.79% (+1.93)
Draw 38.85% (-0.27)
Sparta Prague 24.36% (-1.66)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 54.14% (+3.08)
No Goal 5.21% (-0.34)
Sparta Prague 40.65% (-2.75)

Corners

Over 8 54.39% (+1.40)
Equal 8 11.26% (-0.17)
Under 8 34.34% (-1.25)
Over 9 43.21% (+1.43)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.04)
Under 9 45.61% (-1.40)
Over 10.5 32.98% (+1.35)
Under 10.5 67.02% (-1.36)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 50.92% (+3.15)
Under 1.5 49.08% (-3.15)
Over 2.5 25.55% (+2.49)
Under 2.5 74.45% (-2.49)
Over 3.5 10.51% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 89.49% (-1.24)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5 62.46% (-2.17)
Under 0.5 37.54% (+2.18)
Over 1.5 30.51% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 69.49% (+2.36)
Over 2.5 11.19% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 88.81% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 3.61% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 96.39% (+0.58)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 50.85%
Draw 22.95%
Sparta Prague 26.15%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.45)
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 7.91% (+0.50)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.49)
3-0 @ 4.74% (+0.51)
3-2 @ 3.53% (+0.25)
Other @ 10.39% (+1.25)
Total : 50.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 22.95%
Sparta Prague
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.52)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.59)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.31)
Other @ 3.49% (-0.56)
Total : 26.15%