Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 29' goal
  • Elijah Dijkstra 59' yellowcard
  • Weslley Patati 69' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 87' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Uchenna 32'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 46'
  • yellowcard John Mercado 46'
  • goal Matyas Vojta 50'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 76'
  • yellowcard Jan Kuchta 76'

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 50.85% (-0.05)
Draw 22.94%
Sparta Prague 26.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.38% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.94% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.06% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.89%
Under 3.5 65.11%
Over 4.5 21.17% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.83% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 36.79% (+0.01)
Draw 38.85%
Sparta Prague 24.36% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 54.14% (+0.03)
No Goal 5.19%
Sparta Prague 40.67% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.65% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.2% (-0.03)
Under 8 34.15% (+0.30)
Over 9 43.51% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.04)
Under 9 45.35% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 33.28% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 66.72% (+0.19)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 74.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.45% (+0.02)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5 62.57% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.43% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 30.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.39% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.24% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.76% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 50.86%
Draw 22.96%
Sparta Prague 26.2%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 10.43% (-0.01)
Total : 50.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.96%
Sparta Prague
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51% (+0.01)
Total : 26.2%