Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
TC Strahov

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 2 - 1 Sparta Prague

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 2 - 1 Sparta Prague

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 23.29% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.78%).

Result

Sparta Prague 54.91% (+0.03)
Draw 21.8% (+0.04)
AZ Alkmaar 23.29% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.76% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.43% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 18.57% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 60.29% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.71% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.75% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 61.22% (-0.96)
Over 4.5 24.77% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 75.23% (-0.72)

First Half Winner

Sparta Prague 42.2% (-0.93)
Draw 36.51% (+0.25)
AZ Alkmaar 21.29% (+0.67)

Team To Score First

Sparta Prague 61.79% (-1.21)
No Goal 4.69% (+0.07)
AZ Alkmaar 33.52% (+1.15)

Corners

Over 8 51.2% (-4.13)
Equal 8 11.17% (-0.75)
Under 8 37.63% (+4.88)
Over 9 40.37% (-3.04)
Equal 9 10.84% (-1.08)
Under 9 48.8% (+4.13)
Over 10.5 30.65% (-1.86)
Under 10.5 69.35% (+1.85)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 1.5 55.85% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 44.15% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 30.53% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 69.47% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 14.1% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 85.9% (-0.31)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 59.61% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 40.39% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 29.03% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.97% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 10.79% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 89.21% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 3.59% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.41% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Sparta Prague 54.93%
Draw 21.8%
AZ Alkmaar 23.29%
Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.99% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.09)
Other @ 13.83% (+0.25)
Total : 54.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.27% (+0.08)
Total : 21.8%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.23)
0-1 @ 5.31% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.23)
Other @ 3.32% (+0.18)
Total : 23.29%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 29' goal
  • Elijah Dijkstra 59' yellowcard
  • Weslley Patati 69' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 87' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Uchenna 32'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 46'
  • yellowcard John Mercado 46'
  • goal Matyas Vojta 50'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 76'
  • yellowcard Jan Kuchta 76'