Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 3.30pm
Euroborg

Groningen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.30pm
Volendam 3 - 2 Groningen
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Stije Resink

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 Ajax
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 34.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Groningen win is 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Groningen 34.69% (+0.04)
Draw 25.65%
Ajax 39.63% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.23% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.18% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.86%
Under 3.5 69.14%
Over 4.5 17.86% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.14% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Groningen 32.2%
Draw 39.09%
Ajax 28.71%

Team To Score First

Groningen 48.73%
No Goal 7.38%
Ajax 43.89%

Corners

Over 8 64.32%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 24.86%
Over 9 52.69%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 35.68%
Over 10.5 41.25%
Under 10.5 58.75%

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 36.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.55%
Under 2.5 84.45%
Over 3.5 5.69%
Under 3.5 94.31%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.37% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 39.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.4% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.74% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.26% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Groningen 34.68%
Draw 25.65%
Ajax 39.63%
Groningen
1-0 @ 8.06% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 34.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.65%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.64% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72%
Other @ 5.56% (-0.02)
Total : 39.63%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 30, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE
  • Mika Godts 28' goal
  • Aaron Bouwman 60' goal
  • Aaron Bouwman 64' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
  • Thom van Bergen 52' goal
  • Leandro Bacuna 55' yellowcard
  • Hjalmar Ekdal 81' yellowcard
  • Luciano Valente 90'+3' redcard
  • Thijmen Blokzijl 90'+9' goal
  • Etienne Vaessen 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Gaaei 27'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 68'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 72'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 21' goal
  • Josip Sutalo 65' yellowcard
  • Youri Baas 73' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 83' yellowcard
  • Wout Weghorst 90'+1' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Stije Resink 42'
  • goal Jorg Schreuders 69'
  • yellowcard Thijmen Blokzijl 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 16, 2023 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Florian Kruger 39' goal
  • Laros Duarte 87' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 19'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 68'
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Steven Bergwijn 4' goal
  • Antony 28' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 30' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 45' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 57' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 66' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 88' goal
  • goal Cyril Ngonge 10'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 20' goal
  • goal Davy Klaassen 45'+1'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 45'+6'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 90'+1'