Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.87% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.95%).