Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Ajax
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Sittard
  • Jorthy Mokio 7' goal
  • Rayane Bounida 14' goal
  • Mika Godts 24' goal
  • Mika Godts 81' goal
  • goal Josip Sutalo 45' (OG)

Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 1.30pm
AZ 1 - 1 Ajax
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
Sittard 2 - 2 Sparta
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.87% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.95%).

Result

Ajax 62.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 19.87%
Fortuna Sittard 17.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 16.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 63.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 58.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.41% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ajax 47.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 35.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Fortuna Sittard 17.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Ajax 68.34%
No Goal 3.55%
Fortuna Sittard 28.11%

Corners

Over 8 66.49%
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 22.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 54.96%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 33.51%
Over 10.5 43.43%
Under 10.5 56.57%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 35.87%
Under 2.5 64.13%
Over 3.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 56.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 62.37%
Draw 19.87%
Fortuna Sittard 17.81%
Ajax
2-1 @ 10.23%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 16.3%
Total : 62.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.87%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Sittard
Dec 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax
  • Kaj Sierhuis 4' goal
  • Ivo Pinto 30' yellowcard
  • Justin Hubner 53' redcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 55' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fosso 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayane Bounida 22'
  • goal Ryan Fosso 47' (OG)
  • yellowcard Youri Baas 49'
  • goal Syb van Ottele 45'+6' (OG)
  • goal Owen Wijndal 52'
  • redcard Youri Baas 60'
  • yellowcard Vitezslav Jaros 86'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Sittard
Feb 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax
  • Kristoffer Peterson 59' yellowcard
  • Daley Sinkgraven 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 33'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 42'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 68'
  • yellowcard Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 84'
  • goal Christian Rasmussen 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Ajax
Sep 18, 2024 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
Sittard
  • Kenneth Taylor 9' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 24' goal
  • Youri Baas 58' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 71' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 35'
  • redcard Rodrigo Guth 45'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Ajax
Mar 10, 2024 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Sittard
  • Kenneth Taylor 8' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 88' goal
  • Ahmetcan Kaplan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Deroy Duarte 49'
  • goal Kaj Sierhuis 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Sittard
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax
  • Mitchell Dijks 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Buijs 37'+37' yellowcard
  • Loreintz Rosier 90' yellowcard
  • Ragnar Oratmangoen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Avila 36'
  • yellowcard Maurice Steijn 37'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 45'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Ajax
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sittard
  • Steven Berghuis 6' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 27' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 54' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 86' goal

Form Data

AZ 1 - 1 Ajax
Excelsior 2 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiacos
Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam
Villarreal 1 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sittard 2 - 2 Sparta
Heracles 2 - 1 Sittard
Groningen 1 - 2 Sittard
Sittard 1 - 2 PSV
Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 2 Sittard
Sittard 4 - 3 AZ