Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.30pm
Utrecht 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for PEC Zwolle has a probability of 30.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 2-1 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result

PEC Zwolle 30.09% (-0.04)
Draw 23.68%
Ajax 46.26% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.71% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.32% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.68% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.38% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.62% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 61.74% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.87%
Under 4.5 77.13%

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 26.92% (+0.04)
Draw 37.66% (+0.01)
Ajax 35.42% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 41.81% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.85% (+0.01)
Ajax 53.34% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.76% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.56% (+0.03)
Under 8 31.68% (+0.08)
Over 9 45.09% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.24% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 34.27% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 65.73% (+0.13)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 35.98% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.02% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.34% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 85.66% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.19% (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.82% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.86%
Under 1.5 50.14%
Over 2.5 24.82%
Under 2.5 75.18%
Over 3.5 10.2% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.8% (+0.02)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 30.07%
Draw 23.69%
Ajax 46.26%
PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 30.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 23.69%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.37%
2-3 @ 3.89% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.95% (-0.02)
Total : 46.26%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 32' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Brian Brobbey 27' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Josip Sutalo 63' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mbayo 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 5, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Youri Baas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Fontana 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 35' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 48' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 30'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 54'
  • goal Lennart Thy 60'
  • goal Lennart Thy 89'
  • yellowcard Apostolos Vellios 90'+2'