Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.