Ukrainian Premier League
Mar 15, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Pedrinho 62' yellowcard
  • Artem Bondarenko 63' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Isaque 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 80' yellowcard
  • Luca Meirelles 81' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Tobias 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Kalitvintsev 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 64'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Protsenko 64'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 79'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 79'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 11.00am
Oleksandriya 0 - 1 Shakhtar
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 1.30pm
Rukh Lviv 0 - 3 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.45% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 52.73% (+0.38)
Draw 25.45% (-0.20)
Metalist Kharkiv 21.83% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.25% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 26.59% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 48.34% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 51.66% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 26.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.73% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.37% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.63% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 39.33%
Draw 38.61%
Metalist Kharkiv 22.06%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 55.56% (+0.18)
No Goal 7.96% (-0.13)
Metalist Kharkiv 36.48% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 45.73% (+0.39)
Equal 8 11.72% (+0.22)
Under 8 42.55% (-0.61)
Over 9 34.86% (+0.18)
Equal 9 10.88% (+0.23)
Under 9 54.27% (-0.39)
Over 10.5 25.54% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.46% (+0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 47.66% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 52.34% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 22.17% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 77.83% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.99% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.01% (-0.08)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 56.39% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.61% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 22.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.11% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.79% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.21% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 52.74%
Draw 25.45%
Metalist Kharkiv 21.81%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.02% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 8.98% (+0.09)
Total : 52.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.45%
Metalist Kharkiv
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.13)
Other @ 1.78% (-0.05)
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Oleksandr Zubkov 59' goal
  • Dmytro Kryskiv 78' goal
  • Taras Stepanenko 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Boryachuk 65'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Dmitriy Yusov 56' goal
  • Andriy Tkachuk 71' yellowcard
  • Mykyta Bezuglyy 90' yellowcard
  • Rostyslav Rusyn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Bondarenko 27'
  • goal Mykola Matviyenko 30'
  • goal Lassina Traore 47'
  • yellowcard Lassina Traore 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2023 12.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 4
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 5'
  • goal Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 13'
  • goal Lassina Traore 38'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 41'
  • goal Igor Kurilo 56' (OG)
  • goal Ivan Petryak 58'
  • goal Yaroslav Rakitskiy 66'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Oleh Ocheretko 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Remenyuk 72'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm