Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.41% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.