Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grosuplje win with a probability of 45.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.44% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grosuplje win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.