Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grosuplje win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.78% and a win for Sturm Graz II had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grosuplje win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%) , while for a Sturm Graz II win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.