Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.