Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.08% and a win for Heerenveen has a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.14%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a Heerenveen win it is 1-2 (3.97%).