Eredivisie Gameweek 30
AZ
Apr 12, 2026 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Sven Mijnans 7' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 8' goal
  • Kasper Boogaard 46' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 71' goal
  • Weslley Patati 75' yellowcard
  • Mateo Chávez 75' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 83' yellowcard
  • Matej Sin 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 46'
  • yellowcard Mats Egbring 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 76'
  • yellowcard Ringo Meerveld 76'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 80'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 80'

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
AZ 2 - 0 Sittard
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 1.30pm
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.11% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.16%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 66.52%
Draw 19.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Heerenveen 14.36% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.08% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 26% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 74% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 49.93%
Draw 32.65%
Heerenveen 17.42%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 68.16% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Heerenveen 27.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.1%
Equal 8 10.41%
Under 8 22.49%
Over 9 55.64%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 32.9%
Over 10.5 44.13%
Under 10.5 55.87%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 63.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 36.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 37.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 62.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 49.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 50.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 19.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 80.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.57%
Under 3.5 98.43%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 66.51%
Draw 19.11%
Heerenveen 14.36%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 18.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 66.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61%
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.11%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.95%
0-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.36%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Nov 23, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AZ
Eredivisie
AZ
May 22, 2025 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Mexx Meerdink 3' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 18' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 21' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 45' goal
  • Alexandre Penetra 66' goal
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 74'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 76'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Heerenveen
Mar 2, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ
  • Milos Lukovic 5' goal
  • Ilias Sebaoui 57' goal
  • Jordy de Wijs 81' yellowcard
  • Marcus Linday 90'+4' goal
  • Andries Noppert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 34'
  • goal Zico Buurmeester 76'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
AZ
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
9
1
HT : 2 1
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Troy Parrott 23' goal
  • Troy Parrott 48' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • Troy Parrott 56' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 72' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 75' goal
  • Kristijan Belic 82' goal
  • Zico Buurmeester 85' goal
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Karlsbakk 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 8' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 24' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 51' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 80' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 20'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 23'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 33'
  • redcard Denso Kasius 40'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 88' (OG)
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
AZ
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 11' goal
  • Riechedly Bazoer 24' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 59' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 11'

Form Data

Shakhtar 3 - 0 AZ
AZ 2 - 0 Sittard
Groningen 3 - 0 AZ
Sparta Prague 0 - 4 AZ
AZ 4 - 0 Heracles
AZ 2 - 1 Sparta Prague
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Heracles
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Telstar
Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta
PSV 3 - 1 Heerenveen