Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2026 7.00pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Telstar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.30pm
Sittard 1 - 4 Telstar
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Patrick Brouwer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Telstar has a probability of 26.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Telstar win is 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

Heerenveen 50.51%
Draw 23.48%
Telstar 26.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.6%
Under 1.5 19.4%
Over 2.5 58.87%
Under 2.5 41.1%
Over 3.5 36%
Under 3.5 64%
Over 4.5 21.55%
Under 4.5 78.45%

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 36.41%
Draw 38.41%
Telstar 25.18%

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 56.66%
No Goal 4.88%
Telstar 38.46%

Corners

Over 8 66.6%
Equal 8 10.25%
Under 8 23.16%
Over 9 55.39%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 33.4%
Over 10.5 44.17%
Under 10.5 55.83%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 51.89%
Under 1.5 48.11%
Over 2.5 26.1%
Under 2.5 73.9%
Over 3.5 10.42%
Under 3.5 89.58%

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5 64.03%
Under 0.5 35.97%
Over 1.5 31.84%
Under 1.5 68.16%
Over 2.5 11.73%
Under 2.5 88.27%
Over 3.5 3.68%
Under 3.5 96.32%

Score analysis

Heerenveen 50.51%
Draw 23.47%
Telstar 26.04%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 10.21%
Total : 50.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.47%
Telstar
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 26.04%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 11.15am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT