Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.