Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sparta

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 5.45pm
PSV 3 - 1 Heerenveen
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.45pm
AZ 3 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 30.29% and a draw has a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.32%).

Result

Heerenveen 46.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.44%
Sparta Rotterdam 30.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.78%
Under 1.5 17.22%
Over 2.5 62.16%
Under 2.5 37.84%
Over 3.5 39.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 60.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 24.4%
Under 4.5 75.6%

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 35.89%
Draw 38.25%
Sparta Rotterdam 25.86%

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 54.97%
No Goal 4.37%
Sparta Rotterdam 40.66%

Corners

Over 8 68.39%
Equal 8 10.38%
Under 8 21.23%
Over 9 56.81%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 31.61%
Over 10.5 45.06%
Under 10.5 54.94%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 50.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 67.93%
Under 0.5 32.07%
Over 1.5 37.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.22%
Under 3.5 94.78%

Score analysis

Heerenveen 46.31%
Draw 23.44%
Sparta Rotterdam 30.29%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84%
Other @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.44%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 30.29%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sparta
Dec 14, 2025 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Heerenveen
  • Ayoni Santos 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Linday 24'
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Kersten 38'
  • goal Vasilios Zagaritis 47'
  • goal Said Bakari 70' (OG)
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Sparta
Apr 12, 2025 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Heerenveen
  • Mitchell van Bergen 29' goal
  • Said Bakari 62' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 69' goal
  • Nokkvi Thorisson 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 34'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Heerenveen
Oct 26, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sparta
  • Nikolai Soyset Hopland 4' goal
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 8' yellowcard
  • Simon Olsson 9' yellowcard
  • Jacob Trenskow 58' goal
  • Espen van Ee 65' yellowcard
  • Luuk Brouwers 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Young 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Sparta
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Heerenveen
  • Camiel Neghli 57' goal
  • Tobias Lauritsen 73' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 59'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 83'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Heerenveen
Aug 27, 2023 3.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sparta
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 71' goal
  • Thom Haye 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 34'
  • goal Koki Saito 53'
  • goal Koki Saito 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Sparta
Apr 15, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Heerenveen
  • Mica Pinto 39' goal
  • Younes Namli 51' goal
  • Shurandy Sambo 67' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 76' goal

Form Data

PSV 3 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 3 Heerenveen
FC Twente 5 - 0 Heerenveen
PSV 4 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Utrecht
AZ 3 - 1 Sparta
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Sittard 2 - 2 Sparta
Sparta 2 - 0 Groningen
Utrecht 0 - 1 Sparta
Feyenoord 3 - 4 Sparta