Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Jerolldino Bergraaf 72' yellowcard
  • Miliano Jonathans 72' yellowcard
  • Noah Naujoks 74' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 81' yellowcard
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 38'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 65'
  • goal Joris van Overeem 67'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 75'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 86'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 87'

SBV Excelsior vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 0 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

SBV Excelsior 43.64%
Draw 23.46%
Heerenveen 32.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.87%
Under 3.5 61.13%
Over 4.5 23.45% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.55% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 38.07%
Draw 38.65%
Heerenveen 23.28%

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 55.94%
No Goal 4.41%
Heerenveen 39.65%

Corners

Over 8 63.77%
Equal 8 11.05%
Under 8 25.18%
Over 9 51.93%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 36.23%
Over 10.5 40.35%
Under 10.5 59.65%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 47.93% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.07% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.07%
Under 2.5 76.93%
Over 3.5 9.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.88% (-0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.24% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.03%
Under 1.5 60.97%
Over 2.5 16.92%
Under 2.5 83.08%
Over 3.5 6.06% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 43.64%
Draw 23.46%
Heerenveen 32.91%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38%
Other @ 8.8% (+0.02)
Total : 43.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.46%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.74% (-0.01)
Total : 32.91%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Couhaib Driouech 18' goal
  • Troy Parrott 24' goal
  • Lazaros Lamprou 34' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 57' yellowcard
  • Lazaros Lamprou 63' goal
  • yellowcard Thom Haye 22'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 1 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Simon Olsson 9' goal
  • Denzel Hall 19' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 35' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 56' yellowcard
  • Patrik Walemark 81' yellowcard
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 21'
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 68'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 81'
  • goal Troy Parrott 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 91' goal
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 69'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 92'