Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 0 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 32.87% and a draw has a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.42%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 43.67% (+0.77)
Draw 23.46% (+0.02)
Heerenveen 32.87% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% (-1.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.93% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.07% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.95% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 39.05% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 38.87% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 61.13% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 23.43% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.57% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 38.07% (-0.62)
Draw 38.65% (+0.19)
Heerenveen 23.28% (+0.43)

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 55.94% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.42% (+0.05)
Heerenveen 39.64% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.81% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.04% (-0.13)
Under 8 25.15% (+0.08)
Over 9 51.97% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.14)
Under 9 36.19% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 40.39% (+0.28)
Under 10.5 59.61% (-0.28)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 47.95% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 52.05% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 23.08% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 76.92% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 9.12% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 90.88% (-0.21)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 30.29% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 38.99% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 61.01% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 16.89% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 83.11% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 6.05% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.95% (+0.16)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 43.68%
Draw 23.45%
Heerenveen 32.87%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9% (+0.20)
1-0 @ 7.5% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.18% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.39% (+0.19)
Other @ 8.8% (+0.16)
Total : 43.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.42% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.05)
Total : 23.45%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.73% (-0.21)
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Couhaib Driouech 18' goal
  • Troy Parrott 24' goal
  • Lazaros Lamprou 34' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 57' yellowcard
  • Lazaros Lamprou 63' goal
  • yellowcard Thom Haye 22'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 1 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Simon Olsson 9' goal
  • Denzel Hall 19' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 35' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 56' yellowcard
  • Patrik Walemark 81' yellowcard
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 21'
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 68'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 81'
  • goal Troy Parrott 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 91' goal
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 69'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 92'