Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Philip Brittijn 46' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Peterson 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Ihattaren 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 58' goal
  • Yassin Oukili 79' yellowcard
  • Shawn Adewoye 89' yellowcard
  • Paul Gladon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 63'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 75'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 76'
  • goal Noah Naujoks 78'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 86'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 86'

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 4 - 1 Sittard
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm
Excelsior 1 - 2 AZ
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Fortuna Sittard 39.8% (-0.04)
Draw 26.03%
SBV Excelsior 34.17% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6%
Under 1.5 23.4%
Over 2.5 52.89%
Under 2.5 47.11%
Over 3.5 31.7%
Under 3.5 68.3%
Over 4.5 17.83% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.17% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fortuna Sittard 29.86%
Draw 38.6%
SBV Excelsior 31.54%

Team To Score First

Fortuna Sittard 46.05%
No Goal 6.42%
SBV Excelsior 47.53%

Corners

Over 8 69.62%
Equal 8 9.94%
Under 8 20.44%
Over 9 58.45%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 30.38%
Over 10.5 46.98%
Under 10.5 53.02%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 1.5 40.57% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.43% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.57% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.43% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.27% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.73% (+0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 68.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fortuna Sittard 39.8%
Draw 26.03%
SBV Excelsior 34.17%
Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 6.04% (-0.01)
Total : 39.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.03%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.72% (+0.01)
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 3.45pm
5
2
HT : 4 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Justin Lonwijk 2' yellowcard
  • Justin Lonwijk 13' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 15' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 29' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 34' goal
  • Ivo Pinto 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 68' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 36'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 58'
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 61'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Uddenas 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Nikolas Agrafiotis 30' goal
  • Oscar Uddenas 73' goal
  • Julian Baas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 26'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 64'
  • goal Deroy Duarte 68'
  • goal Mouhamed Menaour Belkheir 78'
  • yellowcard Danny Buijs 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kik Pierie 59' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 73' goal
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 85' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Remi Vita 87' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)
  • Lazaros Lamprou 13' goal
  • Lazaros Lamprou 33' goal
  • Mark Diemers 64' goal
  • Alessandro Ciranni 77' yellowcard
  • Andrija Novakovich 90' goal
  • Jose Rodriguez 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 25'
  • yellowcard Thomas Oude Kotte 32'
  • goal Ali Messaoud 55'