Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 4 - 1 Sittard
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm
Excelsior 1 - 2 AZ
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Irakli Yegoian

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Fortuna Sittard 39.87% (+0.04)
Draw 26.03% (+0.02)
SBV Excelsior 34.11% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.22% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.9% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.73% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.27% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.86% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fortuna Sittard 29.86% (+0.02)
Draw 38.6%
SBV Excelsior 31.54% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Fortuna Sittard 46.05% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.01)
SBV Excelsior 47.54% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 69.62% (-0.01)
Equal 8 9.94% (+0.03)
Under 8 20.44% (-0.02)
Over 9 58.45% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.17% (+0.03)
Under 9 30.38% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 46.98% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 53.02% (+0.07)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 1.5 40.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.36% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.38% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.7% (-0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 68.97% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.05% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.95% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fortuna Sittard 39.87%
Draw 26.03%
SBV Excelsior 34.12%
Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.35% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 6.07% (+0.03)
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.03%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.72% (+0.01)
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 3.45pm
5
2
HT : 4 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Justin Lonwijk 2' yellowcard
  • Justin Lonwijk 13' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 15' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 29' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 34' goal
  • Ivo Pinto 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 68' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 36'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 58'
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 61'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Uddenas 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Nikolas Agrafiotis 30' goal
  • Oscar Uddenas 73' goal
  • Julian Baas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 26'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 64'
  • goal Deroy Duarte 68'
  • goal Mouhamed Menaour Belkheir 78'
  • yellowcard Danny Buijs 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kik Pierie 59' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 73' goal
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 85' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Remi Vita 87' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)
  • Lazaros Lamprou 13' goal
  • Lazaros Lamprou 33' goal
  • Mark Diemers 64' goal
  • Alessandro Ciranni 77' yellowcard
  • Andrija Novakovich 90' goal
  • Jose Rodriguez 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 25'
  • yellowcard Thomas Oude Kotte 32'
  • goal Ali Messaoud 55'