Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.