Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
Goffertstadion

NEC vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.45pm
PSV 2 - 3 Nijmegen
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Bryan Linssen

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 7.00pm
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Telstar
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Lasse Nordas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 23.91% and a draw has a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 1-2 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.62%).

Result

NEC 55.42% (+0.04)
Draw 20.7%
Heerenveen 23.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.53%
Under 1.5 13.47%
Over 2.5 68.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 31.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 47.12%
Under 3.5 52.88%
Over 4.5 31.12%
Under 4.5 68.88%

First Half Winner

NEC 41.91%
Draw 34.96%
Heerenveen 23.13%

Team To Score First

NEC 60.94% (-0.03)
No Goal 3.09% (+0.01)
Heerenveen 35.97% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 72.42% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.52%
Under 8 18.07%
Over 9 61.42%
Equal 9 10.99%
Under 9 27.58% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 49.87%
Under 10.5 50.13%

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 60.84% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 39.16% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 35.28%
Under 2.5 64.72%
Over 3.5 16.99% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 83.01% (-0.01)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 62.38% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.66% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.34% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

NEC 55.42%
Draw 20.7%
Heerenveen 23.91%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 16.53% (+0.02)
Total : 55.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.7%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.46% (-0.01)
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Ion Nicolaescu 53' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 73'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 76'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 82'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Vito van Crooij 3' goal
  • Bram Nuytinck 53' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 65' goal
  • yellowcard Dimitris Rallis 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 78'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Koki Ogawa 67' goal
  • Rober 68' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Magnus Mattsson 37' goal
  • Landry Dimata 61' goal
  • goal Thom Haye 27'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 82'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 87'