Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Nijmegen
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Goffertstadion
Heerenveen
  • Rijk Janse 6' yellowcard
  • Tjaronn Chery 19' goal
  • Tjaronn Chery 57' goal
  • Deveron Fonville 63' yellowcard
  • Youssef El Kachati 63' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 37'
  • goal Ringo Meerveld 45'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 66'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 77'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 77'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 77'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 89'

NEC vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.45pm
PSV 2 - 3 Nijmegen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Bryan Linssen

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 7.00pm
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Telstar
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 23.91% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

NEC 55.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 20.7%
Heerenveen 23.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 13.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 68.63%
Under 2.5 31.37%
Over 3.5 47.13%
Under 3.5 52.87%
Over 4.5 31.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 68.87% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

NEC 41.91%
Draw 34.96%
Heerenveen 23.13%

Team To Score First

NEC 60.96%
No Goal 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Heerenveen 35.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 72.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 9.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 18.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 61.28% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 27.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 49.68% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 50.32% ▲ (+0.25)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 60.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 39.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 35.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 64.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 16.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 62.39%
Under 0.5 37.61%
Over 1.5 33.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

NEC 55.39%
Draw 20.69%
Heerenveen 23.91%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 16.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.69%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Heerenveen
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Ion Nicolaescu 53' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 73'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 76'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 82'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
Oct 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen
  • Vito van Crooij 3' goal
  • Bram Nuytinck 53' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 65' goal
  • yellowcard Dimitris Rallis 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 78'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen
  • Koki Ogawa 67' goal
  • Rober 68' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
May 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Heerenveen
  • Magnus Mattsson 37' goal
  • Landry Dimata 61' goal
  • goal Thom Haye 27'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 82'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 87'

Form Data

PSV 2 - 3 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 0 Volendam
Nijmegen 3 - 2 PSV
Nijmegen 2 - 3 Sittard
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Telstar
Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta
PSV 3 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 3 Heerenveen