Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
Goffertstadion

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Koki Ogawa

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 2 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw has a probability of 19.41% and a win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it is 1-2 (5.22%).

Result

NEC 62.3% (-0.04)
Draw 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard 18.29% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.56%
Under 1.5 14.44%
Over 2.5 66.69%
Under 2.5 33.31%
Over 3.5 44.91% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 55.09% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 29.92% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 70.08% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

NEC 48.79%
Draw 33.49%
Fortuna Sittard 17.72%

Team To Score First

NEC 67.75%
No Goal 3.23%
Fortuna Sittard 29.02%

Corners

Over 8 67.07%
Equal 8 10.08%
Under 8 22.85%
Over 9 56.01%
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 32.93%
Over 10.5 44.88%
Under 10.5 55.12%

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 64.47% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.53% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 38.79% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 61.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.23%
Under 3.5 80.77%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 56.15% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.85% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.65% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.35% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.3% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.7% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

NEC 62.3%
Draw 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard 18.29%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52%
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 18.89%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-1 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.53% (+0.01)
Total : 18.29%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 11.15am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Sami Ouaissa 34' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 69' goal
  • Calvin Verdonk 71' goal
  • Thomas Ouwejan 82' goal
  • yellowcard Loreintz Rosier 33'
  • goal Loreintz Rosier 39'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 43'
  • yellowcard Darijo Grujcic 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Makan Aiko 69' yellowcard
  • goal Koki Ogawa 35'
  • goal Rober 40'
  • goal Sami Ouaissa 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Oguzhan Ozyakup 37' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 75' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rober 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Dirk Proper 16' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 33' goal
  • Elayis Tavsan 42' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 45'+2' goal
  • Mees Hoedemakers 49' redcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 70' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 75' goal
  • Lasse Schone 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Tijanni Noslin 24'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 53'
  • goal Kaj Sierhuis 69'
  • yellowcard Ivo Pinto 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Gladon 90'+4' goal
  • goal Landry Dimata 65'