Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Goffertstadion
Sittard
  • Tjaronn Chery 19' goal
  • Noé Lebreton 67' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 67' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 67' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 68' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 68' yellowcard
  • Noé Lebreton 68' yellowcard
  • Isak Hansen-Aarøen 79' yellowcard
  • Willum Thór Willumsson 79' yellowcard
  • Bryan Linssen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Iván Márquez 27'
  • goal Mohamed Ihattaren 59'
  • goal Justin Hubner 65'
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 72'
  • yellowcard Yassin Oukili 76'
  • yellowcard Shawn Adewoye 76'
  • yellowcard Yassin Oukili 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Gladon 85'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 85'

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Bryan Linssen

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 2 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.41% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

NEC 62.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard 18.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.56%
Under 1.5 14.44%
Over 2.5 66.69%
Under 2.5 33.31%
Over 3.5 44.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 55.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 29.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 70.08% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

NEC 48.79%
Draw 33.49%
Fortuna Sittard 17.72%

Team To Score First

NEC 67.75%
No Goal 3.23%
Fortuna Sittard 29.02%

Corners

Over 8 67.07%
Equal 8 10.08%
Under 8 22.85%
Over 9 56.01%
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 32.93%
Over 10.5 44.88%
Under 10.5 55.12%

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 64.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 38.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 61.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.23%
Under 3.5 80.77%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 56.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

NEC 62.3%
Draw 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard 18.29%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
1-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52%
3-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 18.89%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.41%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-1 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.29%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sittard
Aug 31, 2025 11.15am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
Jan 19, 2025 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Sittard
  • Sami Ouaissa 34' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 69' goal
  • Calvin Verdonk 71' goal
  • Thomas Ouwejan 82' goal
  • yellowcard Loreintz Rosier 33'
  • goal Loreintz Rosier 39'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 43'
  • yellowcard Darijo Grujcic 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Sittard
Aug 31, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Makan Aiko 69' yellowcard
  • goal Koki Ogawa 35'
  • goal Rober 40'
  • goal Sami Ouaissa 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Sittard
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Oguzhan Ozyakup 37' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 75' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rober 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Nijmegen
Dec 15, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Sittard
  • Dirk Proper 16' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 33' goal
  • Elayis Tavsan 42' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 45'+2' goal
  • Mees Hoedemakers 49' redcard
  • Magnus Mattsson 70' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 75' goal
  • Lasse Schone 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Tijanni Noslin 24'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 53'
  • goal Kaj Sierhuis 69'
  • yellowcard Ivo Pinto 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Sittard
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Paul Gladon 90'+4' goal
  • goal Landry Dimata 65'

Form Data

Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 1 - 3 Utrecht
Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles
Nijmegen 1 - 0 Volendam
AZ 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Sittard 2 - 1 Excelsior
Ajax 4 - 1 Sittard
Sittard 2 - 2 Sparta
Heracles 2 - 1 Sittard
Groningen 1 - 2 Sittard
Sittard 1 - 2 PSV