Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.38% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.