Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.34% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%) , while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.25%).