Eredivisie
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Asito Stadion
  • Sem Scheperman 23' goal
  • Mimeirhel Benita 46' yellowcard
  • Tristan van Gilst 58' yellowcard
  • Jan Zamburek 61' yellowcard
  • Jan Zamburek 62' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 72' yellowcard
  • Bryan Limbombe 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rick Meissen 38'
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 57'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Hansson 69'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 90'

Heracles vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
AZ 4 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
Feyenoord 2 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Heracles 40.99%
Draw 24.91% (+0.04)
SBV Excelsior 34.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.72% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.78% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 56.98%
Under 2.5 43.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.8% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 65.2% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.33% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.67% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Heracles 31.37%
Draw 38.81%
SBV Excelsior 29.82%

Team To Score First

Heracles 46.61% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.45% (+0.03)
SBV Excelsior 47.94% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.73%
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 23.74%
Over 9 54.28% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.27%
Over 10.5 42.9% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 57.1% (+0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 43.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.3%
Under 3.5 92.7%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.91% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.1% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.9% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.64%
Under 3.5 94.36%

Score analysis

Heracles 40.99%
Draw 24.91%
SBV Excelsior 34.1%
Heracles
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.99% (-0.01)
Total : 40.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 24.91%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.33% (-0.01)
Total : 34.1%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2025 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Polman Stadion
  • Mario Engels 60' goal
  • goal Noah Naujoks 9'
  • redcard Calvin Raatsie 57'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 45'+3' goal
  • Troy Parrott 66' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 67' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 68' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagre 70' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 70' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Sankoh 52'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 65'
  • yellowcard Marko Vejinovic 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Erve Asito
  • Bryan Limbombe 54' goal
  • Justin Hoogma 60' goal
  • Jetro Willems 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Sankoh 85' goal
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 19'
  • yellowcard Lazaros Lamprou 39'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 49'
  • redcard Lazaros Lamprou 56'
  • yellowcard Ian Smeulers 76'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
  • Sinan Bakis 28' goal
  • Justin Hoogma 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 43'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 47'
  • goal Mats Wieffer 63'
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 83'