Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.62% (+1.65)
Draw 22.26% (-0.34)
AZ Alkmaar 28.12% (-1.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.09% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.56% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 17.44% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 62.06% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 37.94% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 39.28% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 60.72% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 24.83% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 75.17% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 41% (+1.04)
Draw 37.49% (-0.34)
AZ Alkmaar 21.52% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 59.9% (+1.70)
No Goal 4.31% (+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar 35.79% (-1.74)

Corners

Over 8 49.45% (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.83% (+0.05)
Under 8 38.72% (+0.48)
Over 9 38.15% (-0.51)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.55% (+0.52)
Over 10.5 28.22% (-0.46)
Under 10.5 71.78% (+0.46)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 52.65% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 47.35% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 27.27% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 72.73% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 11.76% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 88.24% (-0.20)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 64.7% (-1.35)
Under 0.5 35.3% (+1.35)
Over 1.5 34.61% (-1.49)
Under 1.5 65.39% (+1.49)
Over 2.5 14.55% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 85.45% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 5.36% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 94.64% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.62%
Draw 22.26%
AZ Alkmaar 28.12%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 7.77% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.1% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.74% (+0.41)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.07)
Other @ 11.38% (+0.23)
Total : 49.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 4.31% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.38% (-0.03)
Total : 22.26%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.98% (-0.31)
Total : 28.12%