Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).