Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Artem Bondarenko 24' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 72' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 74' yellowcard
  • Eguinaldo 74' yellowcard
  • Alisson 81' goal
  • Alisson 83' goal
  • Yegor Nazaryna 89' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elijah Dijkstra 46'
  • yellowcard Ro-Zangelo Daal 55'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 73'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 74'
  • yellowcard 75'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.53% (-0.09)
Draw 22.26%
AZ Alkmaar 28.2% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.97% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 17.52% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 61.93% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 38.07% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 39.07% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 60.93% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 24.66% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 75.34% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 41%
Draw 37.49%
AZ Alkmaar 21.52%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 59.93% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.33% (+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar 35.74% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 49.56% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.85% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.59% (-0.13)
Over 9 38.24% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.02)
Under 9 50.44% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 28.28% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 71.72% (-0.07)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 52.49% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 47.51% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 27.12% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 72.88% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 11.67% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88.33% (+0.10)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.25% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 34.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.5% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.32% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.68% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.53%
Draw 22.26%
AZ Alkmaar 28.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.3% (-0.09)
Total : 49.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 22.26%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.95% (-0.04)
Total : 28.2%