Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 26.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 0-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).