Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
  • Isaque 62' yellowcard
  • João Moutinho 67' goal
  • Lucas Ferreira 80' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 80' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 81' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traoré 81' yellowcard
  • Eguinaldo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Ishak 13'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 46'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Leo Bengtsson 68'
  • yellowcard Ali Gholizadeh 68'
  • yellowcard Leo Bengtsson 69'
  • yellowcard Ali Gholizadeh 69'
  • yellowcard Patrik Wålemark 77'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 83'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 47.85% (-0.04)
Draw 24.48%
Lech Poznan 27.68% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.34% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.66% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.79% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.21% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.16% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.84% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 36.78%
Draw 38.99%
Lech Poznan 24.23%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 54.74%
No Goal 6.28% (-0.01)
Lech Poznan 38.98% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.83% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 42.72% (+0.02)
Over 9 35.18% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.65%
Under 9 54.17% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 26.03% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 73.97% (+0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 46.86% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.14% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.82%
Under 3.5 91.18%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 62.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.29% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.24% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.76% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 47.85%
Draw 24.47%
Lech Poznan 27.68%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78%
Other @ 8.62%
Total : 47.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.47%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Total : 27.68%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Timothy Ouma 46' yellowcard
  • João Moutinho 61' yellowcard
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 61' yellowcard
  • Patrik Wålemark 61' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 70' goal
  • Yannick Agnero 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 27'
  • goal Marlon Gomes 36'
  • goal Newerton 48'
  • yellowcard Yegor Nazaryna 74'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 75'
  • yellowcard Isaque 75'
  • goal Isaque 85'
  • yellowcard Prosper Obah 89'