Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 26.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 0-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.51% (+0.12)
Draw 23.66% (-0.08)
Lech Poznan 26.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.91% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.09% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.79% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 45.21% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 32.51% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.49% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.55% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 38.94%
Draw 38.3%
Lech Poznan 22.76%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 55.74% (+0.21)
No Goal 5.82% (-0.02)
Lech Poznan 38.44% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 48.69% (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.65% (+0.04)
Under 8 39.66% (-0.23)
Over 9 37.63% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.05)
Under 9 51.31% (-0.19)
Over 10.5 27.95% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 72.05% (-0.11)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 48.89% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.11% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.33% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 62.26% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.74% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.16%
Under 2.5 88.84%
Over 3.5 3.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.5%
Draw 23.65%
Lech Poznan 26.84%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.61% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.51%
Total : 49.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 23.65%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 26.84%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Timothy Ouma 46' yellowcard
  • João Moutinho 61' yellowcard
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 61' yellowcard
  • Patrik Wålemark 61' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 70' goal
  • Yannick Agnero 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 27'
  • goal Marlon Gomes 36'
  • goal Newerton 48'
  • yellowcard Yegor Nazaryna 74'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 75'
  • yellowcard Isaque 75'
  • goal Isaque 85'
  • yellowcard Prosper Obah 89'