Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.29% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.