Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2026 1.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
  • Luka Lucic 46' yellowcard
  • Levente Szabó 46' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 46' yellowcard
  • Jesus Diaz 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Diaz 69' yellowcard
  • Jakub Sypek 79' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Ishak 7'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 64'
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 73'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 73'
  • yellowcard Robert Gumny 87'

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 4.30pm
Piast Gliwice 1 - 3 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Mateusz Grzybek

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 7.15pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.29% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Zaglebie Lubin 21.6% (-0.05)
Draw 24.29%
Lech Poznan 54.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.79%
Under 2.5 47.16% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 31.84% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 68.16% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 18.81% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 81.19% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Zaglebie Lubin 22.33%
Draw 41.05%
Lech Poznan 36.62%

Team To Score First

Zaglebie Lubin 33.66% (-0.05)
No Goal 6.48% (-0.01)
Lech Poznan 59.86% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.08% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 34.61% (-0.05)
Over 9 42.88% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 45.92% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 32.65% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 67.35% (-0.06)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 1.5 25.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.77% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.22% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.7% (-0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 81.28% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 18.72% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 51.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 48.4% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 25.63% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 74.37% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 10.49% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 89.51% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Zaglebie Lubin 21.6%
Draw 24.29%
Lech Poznan 54.11%
Zaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.07% (+0.03)
Total : 21.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.66% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.09% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.26% (+0.08)
Total : 54.11%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 12, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 23, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Patrik Walemark 2' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 18' goal
  • Rasmus Carstensen 79' goal
  • goal Damian Michalski 12'
  • yellowcard Michal Nalepa 48'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Mateusz Grzybek 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Adam Radwanski 79' yellowcard
  • goal Afonso Sousa 19'
  • yellowcard Adriel Ba Loua 27'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 50'
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 90'+6'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 10, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Filip Szymczak 3' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 37' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Salamon 46' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 63' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 72' goal
  • Elias Andersson 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Poletanovic 52'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kopacz 71'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Dawid Kurminowski 41' goal
  • Tomasz Pienko 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bartlomiej Kludka 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Damian Dabrowski 60' yellowcard
  • Kacper Chodyna 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 48'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 50'
  • redcard Radoslaw Murawski 50'
  • yellowcard Filip Bednarek 54'
  • goal Miha Blazic 76'