Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 11' goal
  • Sven Mijnans 15' goal
  • Troy Parrott 71' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 72' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 77' yellowcard
  • Mees de Wit 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Seiya Maikuma 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Syb van Ottele 46'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 46'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 75'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Limnios 76'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 76'
  • yellowcard Samuel Bastien 77'
  • yellowcard Luka Tunjic 77'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Owen Johnson 84'
  • yellowcard Owen Johnson 85'

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 3 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Sittard 1 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.52% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 67.65% (+0.07)
Draw 18.52% (+0.04)
Fortuna Sittard 13.83% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.15% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.76% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.24% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 62.36% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 37.64% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 39.6% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 60.4% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 26.91% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73.09% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 52.79%
Draw 31.82%
Fortuna Sittard 15.39%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 70.51% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.24% (+0.05)
Fortuna Sittard 25.25% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.28%
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 23.33%
Over 9 54.96%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 33.72%
Over 10.5 43.66%
Under 10.5 56.34%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 65.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 39.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 60.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.09% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.91% (+0.02)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 48.46% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 51.54% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 19.26% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 80.74% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.42% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.71% (+0.01)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 67.66%
Draw 18.52%
Fortuna Sittard 13.82%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 10.07% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.26% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.04% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 19.93% (-0.04)
Total : 67.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.24% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 18.52%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Total : 13.82%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Dec 21, 2025 3.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Justin Lonwijk 9' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 37' yellowcard
  • Philip Brittijn 40' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 42' goal
  • Shawn Adewoye 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 54' goal
  • Philip Brittijn 86' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 19'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 21'
  • goal Mees de Wit 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ernest Poku 46' yellowcard
  • Zico Buurmeester 52' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 77'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Bullaude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Alen Halilovic 20' yellowcard
  • Makan Aiko 29' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 78' goal
  • Ante Erceg 83' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bullaude 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Inigo Cordoba 18' goal
  • Justin Lonwijk 41' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 63'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 69'
  • goal Dani de Wit 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 28' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 45'+1' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 49' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 82' goal
  • Tiago Dantas 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 24'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Siovas 35'
  • yellowcard Deroy Duarte 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jens Odgaard 24'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 42'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 84'