Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 5.45pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 3 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Sittard 1 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kaj Sierhuis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw has a probability of 18.84% and a win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it is 1-2 (4.09%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 66.59% (-0.07)
Draw 18.84%
Fortuna Sittard 14.58% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 17.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.85% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.15% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.59%
Under 3.5 60.41%
Over 4.5 26.73% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.27% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 51.2%
Draw 32.16%
Fortuna Sittard 16.64%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 68.81%
No Goal 4.37%
Fortuna Sittard 26.82%

Corners

Over 8 67.21%
Equal 8 10.17%
Under 8 22.62%
Over 9 56.03%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 32.79%
Over 10.5 44.77%
Under 10.5 55.23%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 64.4% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 35.6% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 38.58% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 61.42% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.41%
Under 3.5 80.59%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 49.38% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.62% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.01% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.99% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 5.98% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 66.59%
Draw 18.84%
Fortuna Sittard 14.58%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 19.23%
Total : 66.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Total : 14.58%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Dec 21, 2025 3.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Justin Lonwijk 9' goal
  • Kaj Sierhuis 37' yellowcard
  • Philip Brittijn 40' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 42' goal
  • Shawn Adewoye 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kaj Sierhuis 54' goal
  • Philip Brittijn 86' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 19'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 21'
  • goal Mees de Wit 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Ernest Poku 46' yellowcard
  • Zico Buurmeester 52' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Guth 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 77'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Bullaude 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Alen Halilovic 20' yellowcard
  • Makan Aiko 29' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 78' goal
  • Ante Erceg 83' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bullaude 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Inigo Cordoba 18' goal
  • Justin Lonwijk 41' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 63'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 69'
  • goal Dani de Wit 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 28' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 45'+1' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 49' goal
  • Dimitris Siovas 82' goal
  • Tiago Dantas 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 24'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Siovas 35'
  • yellowcard Deroy Duarte 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jens Odgaard 24'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 42'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 84'