Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.