Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.66% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.