Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.73% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%) , while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.