Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.39% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%) , while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.