Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.