Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.