Ukrainian Premier League
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Matviy Ponomarenko 13' goal
  • Shola Ogundana 70' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Yatsyk 70' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Pikhalyonok 77' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Dubinchak 84' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Guerrero 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinícius Tobias 28'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 46'
  • yellowcard Prosper Obah 46'
  • goal Lucas Ferreira 50'
  • yellowcard Oleg Ocheretko 63'
  • goal Lassina Traoré 68'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 76'

Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.00am
Kryvbas Kryvyi 5 - 6 Dynamo Kiev
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Matviy Ponomarenko

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.00pm
Kudrivka 1 - 3 Shakhtar
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Dynamo Kiev 39.09% (+1.96)
Draw 26.28% (+0.16)
Shakhtar Donetsk 34.63% (-2.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.63% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 24.37% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 51.41% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 48.59% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 29.18% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 70.82% (+0.85)
Over 4.5 15.99% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 84.01% (+0.64)

First Half Winner

Dynamo Kiev 28.8%
Draw 41.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk 29.61%

Team To Score First

Dynamo Kiev 48.5% (-0.14)
No Goal 6.66% (+0.25)
Shakhtar Donetsk 44.84% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 52.75%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 36.21%
Over 9 41.91%
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 47.25%
Over 10.5 32.07%
Under 10.5 67.93%

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 1.5 38.92% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 61.08% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 15.87% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 84.13% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.31)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 69.06% (-1.76)
Under 0.5 30.94% (+1.77)
Over 1.5 36.34% (-2.22)
Under 1.5 63.66% (+2.22)
Over 2.5 14.52% (-1.50)
Under 2.5 85.48% (+1.50)
Over 3.5 4.66% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 95.34% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Dynamo Kiev 39.08%
Draw 26.28%
Shakhtar Donetsk 34.63%
Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 6.36% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.26% (+0.31)
Total : 39.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 26.28%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.29)
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.32)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.32)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.38% (-0.67)
Total : 34.63%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Kevin 6' goal
  • Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos 20' goal
  • Alisson Santana 78' yellowcard
  • goal Vladyslav Vanat 56'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Dubinchak 80'
  • goal Vladyslav Kabaiev 90'+3'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Oleksandr Andrievsky 62' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Karavaev 87' goal
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zubkov 39'
  • goal Mykola Matviyenko 48'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 59'
  • redcard Dmytro Kryskiv 60'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 11, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 27' yellowcard
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 33' goal
  • Mykola Matviyenko 41' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Vanat 70'
  • yellowcard Andriy Yarmolenko 87'
  • yellowcard Mykola Shaparenko 90'+3'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT NSK Olimpijs'kyj
  • Volodymyr Shepelev 14' yellowcard
  • Maxim Dyachuk 48' yellowcard
  • Mykola Shaparenko 52' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Dubinchak 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Dubinchak 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 16'
  • yellowcard Mykola Matviyenko 38'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gocholeishvili 77'+77'
  • yellowcard Valeriy Bondar 85'+85'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT NSK Olimpijs'kyj
  • Oleksandr Andrievsky 82' goal
  • goal Taras Stepanenko 12'