Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.