Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2026 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Peter Mandela Itodo 45'+2' goal
  • Cauan Matteo Baptistella 53' goal
  • Sebastian Castillo 62' yellowcard
  • Christian Mba 62' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Kalitvintsev 72' yellowcard
  • Igor Kogut 72' yellowcard
  • Baton Zabergja 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denys Galenkov 65'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Kobzar 65'

Metalist Kharkiv vs SK Poltava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 4.00pm
Shakhtar 1 - 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

SK Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 11.00am
SK Poltava 0 - 4 Karpaty
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Danyil Sukhoruchko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Metalist Kharkiv 74.03% (-0.05)
Draw 16.6%
SK Poltava 9.34% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.51% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 20.49% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.23%
Under 2.5 42.77%
Over 3.5 34.53% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 65.47% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 24.36%
Under 4.5 75.64%

First Half Winner

Metalist Kharkiv 48.62%
Draw 35.89%
SK Poltava 15.49%

Team To Score First

Metalist Kharkiv 70.76%
No Goal 5.13%
SK Poltava 24.11%

Corners

Over 8 59.8% (+0.40)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.27)
Under 8 29.02% (-0.68)
Over 9 48.23% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.57% (+0.34)
Under 9 40.2% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 37.24% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 62.76% (+0.25)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 1.5 66.13% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 33.87% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 39.98% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 60.02% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.49% (-0.02)

SK Poltava Goals

Over 0.5 39.56% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 60.44% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 11.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 88.04% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 2.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 97.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.41%
Under 3.5 99.59%

Score analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 74.03%
Draw 16.61%
SK Poltava 9.33%
Metalist Kharkiv
2-0 @ 12.93% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63%
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 20.5% (+0.02)
Total : 74.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.98%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.61%
SK Poltava
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.82%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 9.33%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT