Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.66% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 1-0 (9.28%).