Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 8, 2026 11.00am
Obolon' Arena

Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.00am
Kryvbas Kryvyi 3 - 1 Luhansk
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Pylyp Budkivskyi

SK Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 11.00am
SK Poltava 0 - 2 Kudrivka
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Danyil Sukhoruchko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw has a probability of 24.19% and a win for SK Poltava has a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a SK Poltava win it is 0-1 (5.89%).

Result

Zorya Luhansk 57.7%
Draw 24.19%
SK Poltava 18.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.37%
Under 1.5 26.63%
Over 2.5 49.34%
Under 2.5 50.66%
Over 3.5 27.58%
Under 3.5 72.42%
Over 4.5 16.54%
Under 4.5 83.46%

First Half Winner

Zorya Luhansk 38.74%
Draw 41.67%
SK Poltava 19.59%

Team To Score First

Zorya Luhansk 59.98%
No Goal 7.69%
SK Poltava 32.33%

Corners

Over 8 56.54%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 31.64%
Over 9 44.61%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 43.46%
Over 10.5 33.58%
Under 10.5 66.42%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 1.5 51.37%
Under 1.5 48.63%
Over 2.5 25.55%
Under 2.5 74.45%
Over 3.5 10.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.5% (+0.02)

SK Poltava Goals

Over 0.5 52.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.76% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 5.85%
Under 2.5 94.15%
Over 3.5 1.48%
Under 3.5 98.52%

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 57.7%
Draw 24.18%
SK Poltava 18.06%
Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.34% (-0.01)
Total : 57.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
SK Poltava
0-1 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 18.06%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Aug 29, 2025 1.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT