Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.94%).