Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.